National League North round 7

Kidderminster Harriers vs Chester analysis

Kidderminster Harriers Chester
49 ELO 52
-16.9% Tilt -18.5%
4397º General ELO ranking 3576º
148º Country ELO ranking 115º
ELO win probability
31.5%
Kidderminster Harriers
27.1%
Draw
41.4%
Chester

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
Kidderminster Harriers
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.4%
Win probability
Chester
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kidderminster Harriers
+14%
+3%
Chester

ELO progression

Kidderminster Harriers
Chester
Chorley
Scarborough Athletic
Oxford City
Leamington
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kidderminster Harriers
Kidderminster Harriers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2024
SCU
Scunthorpe United
2 - 0
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
61%
23%
16%
49 55 6 0
26 Aug. 2024
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
4 - 0
Oxford City
OXF
58%
23%
19%
49 38 11 0
24 Aug. 2024
WAR
Warrington Town
2 - 1
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
40%
26%
34%
49 45 4 0
20 Aug. 2024
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
1 - 0
Brackley Town
BRA
33%
29%
39%
48 54 6 +1
17 Aug. 2024
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
3 - 0
Radcliffe Borough
RAD
32%
25%
43%
47 48 1 +1

Matches

Chester
Chester
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2024
CHE
Chester
3 - 0
Peterborough Sports
PET
59%
23%
18%
51 44 7 0
26 Aug. 2024
CHE
Chester
3 - 2
Scarborough Athletic
SCA
48%
27%
26%
50 47 3 +1
24 Aug. 2024
ALF
Alfreton Town
2 - 2
Chester
CHE
42%
27%
32%
50 51 1 0
20 Aug. 2024
CHE
Chester
2 - 0
Radcliffe Borough
RAD
43%
25%
32%
49 47 2 +1
17 Aug. 2024
CHE
Chester
0 - 1
Brackley Town
BRA
38%
28%
33%
50 53 3 -1