Niislel League round 14

Khovd vs Brera Ilch FC analysis

Khovd Brera Ilch FC
17 ELO 12
9.3% Tilt 4.2%
14487º General ELO ranking 16360º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
82%
Khovd
11.1%
Draw
6.9%
Brera Ilch FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
Khovd
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.9%
Win probability
Brera Ilch FC
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Khovd
-51%
+159%
Brera Ilch FC

ELO progression

Khovd
Brera Ilch FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Khovd
Khovd
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2024
BFC
Bavarians FC
2 - 4
Khovd
KHC
10%
14%
76%
18 5 13 0
16 Mar. 2024
KHC
Khovd
0 - 2
SP Falcons
SPF
27%
20%
53%
19 28 9 -1
09 Mar. 2024
KHA
Khangarid
1 - 0
Khovd
KHC
50%
20%
30%
20 18 2 -1
01 Mar. 2024
KHC
Khovd
2 - 5
Khaan Khuns - Erchim
ERC
52%
19%
29%
20 19 1 0
29 Oct. 2023
KHC
Khovd
2 - 5
FC Deren
DER
33%
22%
45%
22 29 7 -2

Matches

Brera Ilch FC
Brera Ilch FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2024
BSI
Brera Ilch FC
1 - 3
FC Ulaanbaatar
ULA
12%
16%
72%
10 27 17 0
15 Mar. 2024
KHO
Khoromkhon
3 - 4
Brera Ilch FC
BSI
84%
10%
6%
9 15 6 +1
08 Mar. 2024
BFC
Bavarians FC
1 - 8
Brera Ilch FC
BSI
47%
21%
32%
8 7 1 +1
02 Mar. 2024
BSI
Brera Ilch FC
1 - 6
SP Falcons
SPF
10%
15%
76%
8 28 20 0
29 Oct. 2023
BSI
Brera Ilch FC
1 - 7
Khangarid
KHA
13%
15%
72%
9 16 7 -1