Kerry FC vs Longford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
75.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+103%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
9º
10º
10º
40
6º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 3
BRW
6%
12%
83%
|
8 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 1
KEF
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 1
DRO
6%
11%
83%
|
8 | 59 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
WEX
3 - 2
KEF
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 51 | 43 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
KEF
2 - 2
COB
8%
17%
76%
|
8 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LON
1 - 0
GAL
13%
23%
65%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FIN
0 - 1
LON
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LON
2 - 3
ATH
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
BRW
2 - 4
LON
36%
25%
40%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 3
LON
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |