Kepezspor vs Gumushanespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
7º
1º
22
3º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kepezspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
AYV
0 - 1
KEP
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
ANT
6 - 1
KEP
87%
10%
3%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
KEP
1 - 0
MBB
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TAR
1 - 3
KEP
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
KEP
1 - 0
ABS
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Gumushanespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
GUM
0 - 0
KIR
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AFK
2 - 1
GUM
28%
23%
50%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GUM
1 - 1
AYV
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MBB
0 - 1
GUM
53%
24%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GUM
0 - 0
TAR
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |