Kelty Hearts vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
8º
4º
18
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
21 | 59 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 57 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 55 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
22 | 54 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 49 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 47 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 47 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 47 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 41 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 39 |
10º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
14% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
42.5% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
37.5% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
KHE
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
QOS
1 - 5
KHE
49%
24%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KHE
3 - 0
BLA
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 0
KHE
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KHE
1 - 3
COV
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 0
MON
41%
25%
35%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
ALL
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DUM
0 - 1
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
STE
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ARB
3 - 0
MON
24%
23%
52%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |