Keith vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
42.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BRO
2 - 3
KEI
89%
8%
3%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KEI
0 - 1
TUR
20%
19%
61%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ROT
0 - 1
KEI
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KEI
1 - 2
BAN
6%
15%
79%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CLA
2 - 0
KEI
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 2
LOS
72%
16%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 3
FOR
86%
10%
5%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STR
1 - 6
FOR
11%
16%
73%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 4
BRO
6%
13%
81%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 2
FOR
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |