Kayserispor vs Gençlerbirliği SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kayserispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
KAY
5 - 3
GIR
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
KAY
1 - 2
KON
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
KAY
1 - 0
4EY
85%
11%
4%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GFK
1 - 2
KAY
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KAY
2 - 2
ADA
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gençlerbirliği SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SAK
2 - 1
GEN
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GEN
1 - 2
ERZ
32%
27%
42%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BOD
2 - 0
GEN
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GEN
1 - 3
RIZ
21%
25%
55%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
GEN
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |