Super League Temporada Regular round 5

Kavala vs Iraklis Thessaloniki analysis

Kavala Iraklis Thessaloniki
57 ELO 81
-6.8% Tilt -17.4%
3508º General ELO ranking 2936º
34º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
15.2%
Kavala
25%
Draw
59.8%
Iraklis Thessaloniki

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
Kavala
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
59.8%
Win probability
Iraklis Thessaloniki
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kavala
-18%
-4%
Iraklis Thessaloniki

ELO progression

Kavala
Iraklis Thessaloniki
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kavala
Kavala
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2009
AOK
Kavala
2 - 1
Atromitos
ATR
44%
27%
29%
56 56 0 0
12 Sep. 2009
OLP
Olympiacos
0 - 0
Kavala
AOK
82%
13%
5%
55 81 26 +1
29 Aug. 2009
AOK
Kavala
0 - 1
Asteras Tripolis
TRI
24%
28%
48%
54 73 19 +1
23 Aug. 2009
LEV
Levadiakos
0 - 1
Kavala
AOK
67%
21%
12%
53 63 10 +1
18 May. 2009
ION
Ionikos Nikea
2 - 2
Kavala
AOK
36%
28%
36%
52 43 9 +1

Matches

Iraklis Thessaloniki
Iraklis Thessaloniki
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2009
IRA
Iraklis Thessaloniki
2 - 1
AEL Larisa
LAR
64%
24%
12%
81 69 12 0
13 Sep. 2009
AEK
AEK Athens
1 - 0
Iraklis Thessaloniki
IRA
47%
25%
28%
81 78 3 0
29 Aug. 2009
IRA
Iraklis Thessaloniki
2 - 2
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
56%
26%
18%
81 76 5 0
23 Aug. 2009
PFC
Panthrakikos
1 - 2
Iraklis Thessaloniki
IRA
18%
26%
57%
81 55 26 0
26 Apr. 2009
XAN
Xanthi
4 - 1
Iraklis Thessaloniki
IRA
29%
29%
43%
81 73 8 0