NPFL round 3

Katsina United vs Lobi Stars analysis

Katsina United Lobi Stars
61 ELO 66
-2.8% Tilt -16.8%
1280º General ELO ranking 1185º
17º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
39.6%
Katsina United
28.2%
Draw
32.2%
Lobi Stars

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
Katsina United
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.2%
Win probability
Lobi Stars
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Katsina United
-14%
-19%
Lobi Stars

Points and table prediction

Katsina United
Their league position
Lobi Stars
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
16º
58
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Enugu Rangers
70
70
100%
Remo Stars
65
65
100%
Shooting Stars
62
62
100%
Enyimba
61
61
100%
Plateau United
59
59
100%
Lobi Stars
58
58
100%
Katsina United
55
55
100%
Abia Warriors
54
54
100%
Rivers United
53
53
100%
Bendel Insurance
10º
53
53
10º
100%
Kano Pillars
11º
52
52
11º
0%
Sunshine Stars
12º
52
52
12º
0%
Kwara United
13º
51
51
13º
100%
Niger Tornadoes
14º
51
51
14º
100%
Bayelsa United
15º
50
50
15º
100%
Akwa United
16º
49
49
16º
100%
Sporting Lagos FC
17º
46
46
17º
100%
Doma United FC
18º
43
43
18º
100%
Heartland Owerri
19º
38
38
19º
100%
Gombe United
20º
25
31
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Katsina United
Lobi Stars
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
CAF Confederation Cup
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Katsina United
Lobi Stars
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Katsina United
Katsina United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2023
KAN
Kano Pillars
1 - 0
Katsina United
KAT
62%
24%
14%
61 72 11 0
30 Sep. 2023
KAT
Katsina United
1 - 0
Kwara United
KWA
41%
27%
32%
60 63 3 +1
17 Jul. 2022
WIK
Wikki Tourist
2 - 0
Katsina United
KAT
44%
29%
28%
61 60 1 -1
10 Jul. 2022
KAT
Katsina United
2 - 0
Plateau United
PLA
31%
29%
40%
59 71 12 +2
02 Jul. 2022
AST
Dakkada
2 - 0
Katsina United
KAT
48%
27%
25%
61 58 3 -2

Matches

Lobi Stars
Lobi Stars
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2023
LOB
Lobi Stars
3 - 2
Sunshine Stars
SUN
46%
28%
26%
65 67 2 0
30 Sep. 2023
HEA
Heartland Owerri
2 - 2
Lobi Stars
LOB
35%
30%
35%
65 60 5 0
11 Jun. 2023
SUN
Sunshine Stars
3 - 1
Lobi Stars
LOB
42%
30%
28%
65 65 0 0
09 Jun. 2023
LOB
Lobi Stars
0 - 2
Remo Stars
REM
37%
28%
34%
66 71 5 -1
07 Jun. 2023
LOB
Lobi Stars
0 - 0
Rivers United
RIV
40%
29%
32%
66 71 5 0