Cup round 3

Kastrioti Krujë vs Besa Kavajë analysis

Kastrioti Krujë Besa Kavajë
64 ELO 62
3.6% Tilt -8.8%
5032º General ELO ranking 4908º
20º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
45.8%
Kastrioti Krujë
23.9%
Draw
30.3%
Besa Kavajë

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
Kastrioti Krujë
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.4%
Win probability
Besa Kavajë
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kastrioti Krujë
+46%
+98%
Besa Kavajë

ELO progression

Kastrioti Krujë
Besa Kavajë
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kastrioti Krujë
Kastrioti Krujë
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2011
DIN
Dinamo City
0 - 1
Kastrioti Krujë
KRU
42%
27%
31%
63 58 5 0
06 Nov. 2011
KRU
Kastrioti Krujë
3 - 1
Tomori Berat
TOM
76%
16%
8%
63 49 14 0
31 Oct. 2011
KFS
KF Skënderbeu
1 - 0
Kastrioti Krujë
KRU
63%
22%
15%
63 69 6 0
26 Oct. 2011
KFS
KF Skënderbeu
2 - 0
Kastrioti Krujë
KRU
60%
22%
18%
64 69 5 -1
23 Oct. 2011
KRU
Kastrioti Krujë
2 - 0
Apolonia Fier
APO
59%
23%
19%
63 59 4 +1

Matches

Besa Kavajë
Besa Kavajë
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2011
LUS
Lushnja
1 - 0
Besa Kavajë
BES
25%
26%
50%
64 54 10 0
05 Nov. 2011
BES
Besa Kavajë
1 - 1
KF Luftëtari
LUF
71%
20%
10%
64 51 13 0
29 Oct. 2011
BES
Besëlidhja Lezhë
2 - 0
Besa Kavajë
BES
20%
24%
56%
65 52 13 -1
26 Oct. 2011
LUF
KF Luftëtari
1 - 0
Besa Kavajë
BES
14%
21%
65%
66 49 17 -1
22 Oct. 2011
BES
Besa Kavajë
2 - 1
Skrapari
SKR
75%
17%
7%
66 46 20 0