J1 League round 14

Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe analysis

Kashiwa Reysol Vissel Kobe
77 ELO 82
8.9% Tilt -8.1%
465º General ELO ranking 305º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
34.3%
Kashiwa Reysol
25.2%
Draw
40.5%
Vissel Kobe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
Kashiwa Reysol
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.5%
Win probability
Vissel Kobe
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kashiwa Reysol
-12%
+19%
Vissel Kobe

Points and table prediction

Kashiwa Reysol
Their league position
Vissel Kobe
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
11º
18º
17º
71
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vissel Kobe
71
71
100%
Yokohama F. Marinos
64
64
100%
Urawa Reds
57
57
100%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
56
56
100%
Kashima Antlers
52
52
0%
Nagoya Grampus
52
52
100%
Avispa Fukuoka
52
52
0%
Kawasaki Frontale
50
50
100%
Cerezo Osaka
49
49
100%
Albirex Niigata
10º
45
45
10º
100%
FC Tokyo
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Consadole Sapporo
12º
40
40
12º
0%
Kyoto Sanga
13º
40
40
13º
0%
Sagan Tosu
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Shonan Bellmare
15º
34
34
15º
0%
Gamba Osaka
16º
34
34
16º
0%
Kashiwa Reysol
17º
33
33
17º
100%
Yokohama
18º
29
29
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Kashiwa Reysol
Vissel Kobe
Champion
0% 100%
AFC Champions League Elite
0% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Kashiwa Reysol
Vissel Kobe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2023
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
0 - 1
Yokohama
YOK
70%
19%
11%
77 64 13 0
07 May. 2023
ALB
Albirex Niigata
0 - 0
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
35%
27%
38%
77 72 5 0
03 May. 2023
SHO
Shonan Bellmare
1 - 2
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
39%
28%
33%
77 77 0 0
29 Apr. 2023
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
1 - 1
Kyoto Sanga
KYO
51%
25%
24%
77 75 2 0
23 Apr. 2023
CER
Cerezo Osaka
1 - 0
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
55%
24%
21%
77 81 4 0

Matches

Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2023
VIS
Vissel Kobe
2 - 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
43%
26%
32%
82 83 1 0
07 May. 2023
VIS
Vissel Kobe
3 - 0
Yokohama
YOK
68%
20%
12%
81 64 17 +1
03 May. 2023
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
2 - 2
Vissel Kobe
VIS
44%
26%
30%
81 83 2 0
29 Apr. 2023
VIS
Vissel Kobe
2 - 0
Shonan Bellmare
SHO
56%
24%
20%
81 78 3 0
22 Apr. 2023
VIS
Vissel Kobe
2 - 3
Yokohama F. Marinos
FCY
36%
24%
39%
81 83 2 0