Kashiwa Reysol vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
KAR
1 - 3
FCY
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CON
0 - 2
KAR
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
OMI
0 - 4
KAR
39%
29%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
GAM
2 - 1
KAR
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
KAR
2 - 5
KAW
27%
24%
49%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
THE
1 - 0
TOK
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
THE
0 - 1
MIT
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
EHI
1 - 0
THE
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
THE
0 - 0
ROA
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
THE
1 - 1
AVI
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |