J1 League round 8

Kashima Antlers vs Kyoto Sanga analysis

Kashima Antlers Kyoto Sanga
82 ELO 75
-9.6% Tilt -7.6%
272º General ELO ranking 601º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
56.9%
Kashima Antlers
24.2%
Draw
18.9%
Kyoto Sanga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
Kashima Antlers
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.9%
Win probability
Kyoto Sanga
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kashima Antlers
-3%
+21%
Kyoto Sanga

Points and table prediction

Kashima Antlers
Their league position
Kyoto Sanga
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
45
10º
20º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vissel Kobe
67
71
74.5%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
65
69
62%
Machida Zelvia
63
66
61%
Gamba Osaka
60
63
43%
Kashima Antlers
58
62
37.5%
Tokyo Verdy
54
58
65.5%
FC Tokyo
51
54
45%
Cerezo Osaka
50
53
27%
Avispa Fukuoka
48
51
17%
Urawa Reds
15º
43
50
10º
11.5%
Yokohama F. Marinos
11º
46
50
11º
10%
Nagoya Grampus
10º
47
50
12º
20%
Kawasaki Frontale
12º
45
49
13º
16.5%
Kyoto Sanga
14º
45
49
14º
20%
Shonan Bellmare
13º
45
48
15º
44%
Albirex Niigata
16º
41
44
16º
59.5%
Kashiwa Reysol
17º
40
43
17º
58.5%
Júbilo Iwata
18º
35
39
18º
57%
Consadole Sapporo
19º
34
37
19º
65.5%
Sagan Tosu
20º
29
32
20º
96.5%
Expected probabilities
Kashima Antlers
Kyoto Sanga
Champion
0% 0%
AFC Champions League Elite
0.5% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
16% 0%
Mid-table
83.5% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Kashima Antlers
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kashima Antlers
Kashima Antlers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2024
FCT
FC Tokyo
2 - 0
Kashima Antlers
KAA
43%
26%
32%
82 80 2 0
03 Apr. 2024
AVI
Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 0
Kashima Antlers
KAA
40%
27%
33%
82 81 1 0
30 Mar. 2024
KAA
Kashima Antlers
1 - 0
Júbilo Iwata
JUB
58%
24%
19%
82 75 7 0
17 Mar. 2024
KAA
Kashima Antlers
2 - 1
Kawasaki Frontale
KAW
39%
25%
37%
82 82 0 0
09 Mar. 2024
MAC
Machida Zelvia
1 - 0
Kashima Antlers
KAA
31%
27%
43%
82 75 7 0

Matches

Kyoto Sanga
Kyoto Sanga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2024
KYO
Kyoto Sanga
0 - 3
Júbilo Iwata
JUB
45%
26%
28%
76 75 1 0
03 Apr. 2024
GAM
Gamba Osaka
0 - 0
Kyoto Sanga
KYO
45%
26%
28%
77 77 0 -1
29 Mar. 2024
TOK
Tokyo Verdy
2 - 2
Kyoto Sanga
KYO
33%
28%
39%
77 71 6 0
17 Mar. 2024
KYO
Kyoto Sanga
2 - 3
Yokohama F. Marinos
FCY
27%
25%
48%
77 82 5 0
09 Mar. 2024
KAW
Kawasaki Frontale
0 - 1
Kyoto Sanga
KYO
66%
19%
15%
77 82 5 0