Karsiyaka vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
7º
2º
9
9º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 66 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 63 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 55 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 51 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 44 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 43 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 43 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 39 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 37 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 37 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 32 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 32 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 25 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
35.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
38.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
26% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 74% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karsiyaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
DUZ
1 - 2
KAR
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
KUS
0 - 2
KAR
16%
21%
63%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
VBK
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AHP
0 - 3
KAR
13%
21%
66%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 0
ELA
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TBP
1 - 0
VBK
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
AHP
0 - 0
TBP
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TBP
1 - 0
ELA
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
KBS
0 - 0
TBP
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TBP
2 - 2
KIR
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |