III Liga Grupo 4 round 10

Karpaty Krosno vs Chełmianka Chełm analysis

Karpaty Krosno Chełmianka Chełm
22 ELO 42
-16% Tilt -9.7%
10541º General ELO ranking 5141º
188º Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
10.7%
Karpaty Krosno
17.7%
Draw
71.6%
Chełmianka Chełm

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
Karpaty Krosno
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
71.6%
Win probability
Chełmianka Chełm
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Karpaty Krosno
-6%
+5%
Chełmianka Chełm

ELO progression

Karpaty Krosno
Chełmianka Chełm
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Karpaty Krosno
Karpaty Krosno
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2023
GAK
Garbarnia Kraków
2 - 1
Karpaty Krosno
KAR
90%
8%
2%
23 51 28 0
16 Sep. 2023
KAR
Karpaty Krosno
0 - 2
Wiślanie Jaśkowice
LWJ
26%
22%
53%
24 30 6 -1
09 Sep. 2023
KAR
Karpaty Krosno
0 - 1
Sokół Sieniawa
SOK
33%
24%
43%
24 28 4 0
02 Sep. 2023
STS
Star Starachowice
3 - 0
Karpaty Krosno
KAR
46%
22%
32%
26 24 2 -2
26 Aug. 2023
KAR
Karpaty Krosno
0 - 1
Czarni Połaniec
CPO
17%
20%
63%
26 38 12 0

Matches

Chełmianka Chełm
Chełmianka Chełm
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2023
CHE
Chełmianka Chełm
2 - 0
Star Starachowice
STS
68%
18%
15%
41 29 12 0
16 Sep. 2023
CPO
Czarni Połaniec
3 - 3
Chełmianka Chełm
CHE
45%
25%
30%
41 40 1 0
09 Sep. 2023
CHE
Chełmianka Chełm
1 - 0
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
SIA
21%
24%
55%
39 47 8 +2
02 Sep. 2023
SWS
Swidniczanka Swidnik
1 - 3
Chełmianka Chełm
CHE
8%
14%
78%
38 10 28 +1
27 Aug. 2023
CHE
Chełmianka Chełm
2 - 0
Podhale Nowy Targ
POD
31%
25%
44%
36 40 4 +2