DFB Pokal Last 16

Karlsruher SC vs Nürnberg analysis

Karlsruher SC Nürnberg
59 ELO 61
8.3% Tilt 5.6%
257º General ELO ranking 625º
24º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
57.5%
Karlsruher SC
18.9%
Draw
23.7%
Nürnberg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
Karlsruher SC
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.9%
23.7%
Win probability
Nürnberg
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Karlsruher SC
-6%
+7%
Nürnberg

ELO progression

Karlsruher SC
Nürnberg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Karlsruher SC
Karlsruher SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 1954
KSC
Karlsruher SC
0 - 2
Reutlingen
REU
80%
11%
9%
59 51 8 0
11 Sep. 1954
STU
Stuttgart
3 - 0
Karlsruher SC
KSC
67%
18%
16%
60 64 4 -1
05 Sep. 1954
KSC
Karlsruher SC
1 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
76%
14%
10%
61 52 9 -1
29 Aug. 1954
SGF
Greuther Fürth
2 - 1
Karlsruher SC
KSC
50%
23%
27%
61 54 7 0
22 Aug. 1954
KSC
Karlsruher SC
8 - 2
Schweinfurt
SCH
73%
16%
12%
60 56 4 +1

Matches

Nürnberg
Nürnberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 1954
VFR
VfR Mannheim
0 - 3
Nürnberg
FCN
56%
20%
24%
61 54 7 0
12 Sep. 1954
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 - 1
Nürnberg
FCN
57%
21%
22%
61 64 3 0
05 Sep. 1954
FCN
Nürnberg
7 - 0
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
81%
11%
8%
61 49 12 0
29 Aug. 1954
REU
Reutlingen
3 - 1
Nürnberg
FCN
42%
22%
36%
62 49 13 -1
21 Aug. 1954
FCN
Nürnberg
3 - 2
FC Augsburg
AUG
70%
16%
13%
62 53 9 0