Karlsruher SC vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
KSC
1 - 3
MUN
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
MSV
3 - 1
KSC
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
EIN
2 - 0
KSC
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
KSC
0 - 2
AAA
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
PAD
2 - 1
KSC
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 1
ING
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
AAA
1 - 1
ERZ
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RTV
6 - 0
ERZ
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 2
MSV
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SGD
1 - 2
ERZ
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |