Karbach vs Auersmacher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
51.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
10º
4º
42
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 8 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 8 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MEC
1 - 0
KAR
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 2
PIR
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
KAR
3 - 3
DIE
26%
20%
54%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SCK
2 - 3
KAR
11%
16%
73%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
KAR
1 - 2
EIS
75%
14%
11%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Auersmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
AUE
1 - 1
TUS
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
4 - 2
AUE
72%
15%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AUE
2 - 1
ENG
37%
23%
41%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
HWI
0 - 5
AUE
38%
21%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AUE
2 - 1
ELV
83%
11%
6%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | +1 |