Karbach vs Gonsenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
62.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
10º
9º
36
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 79 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 79 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 72 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 30 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 29 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 4
AUE
67%
17%
16%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
KOB
0 - 1
KAR
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 0
MOR
60%
19%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DIE
0 - 0
KAR
51%
21%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 0
MEC
56%
20%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gonsenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GON
3 - 0
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
GON
3 - 1
DIE
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 1
GON
14%
18%
68%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
GON
0 - 2
SMA
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VHE
2 - 2
GON
14%
18%
68%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | -1 |