Karaköprü Bld. vs Ağrı Spor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
4º
1º
39
6º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karaköprü Bld.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
KUS
0 - 0
KAR
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
KAR
5 - 1
DAR
78%
16%
7%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ERB
0 - 0
KAR
33%
28%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 1
BUY
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VBK
3 - 2
KAR
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ağrı Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ASP
1 - 1
BAY
43%
27%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 0
ASP
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ASP
1 - 1
SIL
24%
27%
49%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BKS
1 - 3
ASP
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ASP
2 - 1
AKB
46%
25%
30%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |