Kapellen-Erft vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
HNI
3 - 0
KAP
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
KAP
3 - 1
MSV
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ESS
3 - 1
KAP
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
KAP
0 - 0
VFB
39%
23%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
WES
2 - 4
KAP
12%
19%
70%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
VFB
1 - 2
VEL
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
HIL
7 - 2
VFB
34%
23%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
VFB
0 - 2
SWE
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
KAP
0 - 0
VFB
39%
23%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
VFB
2 - 2
MSV
44%
25%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |