A-Junioren Bundesliga Sur / Suroeste round 16

Kaiserslautern U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis

Kaiserslautern U19 Mainz 05 U19
16 ELO 32
0.2% Tilt 14.3%
14103º General ELO ranking 8734º
876º Country ELO ranking 369º
ELO win probability
8.7%
Kaiserslautern U19
14.7%
Draw
76.6%
Mainz 05 U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
Kaiserslautern U19
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
76.6%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kaiserslautern U19
+39%
-14%
Mainz 05 U19

Points and table prediction

Kaiserslautern U19
Their league position
Mainz 05 U19
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
14º
12º
46
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hoffenheim U19
67
67
100%
Ingolstadt U19
58
58
100%
VfB Stuttgart U19
48
48
0%
Karlsruher SC U19
48
48
0%
Mainz 05 U19
46
46
100%
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
45
45
100%
Bayern München U19
37
37
100%
1860 München U19
35
35
100%
Nürnberg U19
30
30
100%
Greuther Fürth U19
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Heidenheim U19
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Kaiserslautern U19
12º
20
20
12º
100%
Sandhausen U19
13º
18
18
13º
100%
FC Augsburg U19
14º
14
14
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Kaiserslautern U19
Mainz 05 U19
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Kaiserslautern U19
Mainz 05 U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kaiserslautern U19
Kaiserslautern U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2024
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
4 - 0
Kaiserslautern U19
KAI
84%
11%
5%
14 31 17 0
10 Dec. 2023
KAI
Kaiserslautern U19
0 - 1
FC Augsburg U19
AUG
41%
22%
37%
14 15 1 0
02 Dec. 2023
KAI
Kaiserslautern U19
2 - 1
Sandhausen U19
SDH
50%
21%
29%
14 14 0 0
25 Nov. 2023
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
1 - 0
Kaiserslautern U19
KAI
48%
21%
31%
14 15 1 0
11 Nov. 2023
KAI
Kaiserslautern U19
0 - 1
Ingolstadt U19
ING
15%
18%
66%
15 24 9 -1

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2024
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
2 - 2
Barcelona U19
FCB
53%
21%
26%
34 32 2 0
03 Feb. 2024
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
2 - 2
Ingolstadt U19
ING
70%
16%
14%
34 26 8 0
10 Dec. 2023
NUR
Nürnberg U19
2 - 2
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
31%
21%
48%
34 26 8 0
06 Dec. 2023
HOF
Hoffenheim U19
1 - 1
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
49%
20%
30%
34 32 2 0
03 Dec. 2023
DMI
Dínamo Minsk Sub 19
1 - 2
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
10%
14%
76%
34 10 24 0