3. Lig Grupo 4 round 1

Kahramanmaras Istiklal vs Ağrı Spor analysis

Kahramanmaras Istiklal Ağrı Spor
13 ELO 38
-1.4% Tilt 0%
12054º General ELO ranking 6455º
192º Country ELO ranking 120º
ELO win probability
10.2%
Kahramanmaras Istiklal
15.5%
Draw
74.3%
Ağrı Spor

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
Kahramanmaras Istiklal
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
74.3%
Win probability
Ağrı Spor
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kahramanmaras Istiklal
+1578%
+27%
Ağrı Spor

Points and table prediction

Kahramanmaras Istiklal
Their league position
Ağrı Spor
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
16
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Orduspor 1967
23
62
36%
Zonguldak Kömürspor
25
62
31.5%
Sebat Gençlik SK
26
60
29%
Mardin Fosfat
22
50
29%
MKE Kırıkkalespor
17
48
20.5%
Ağrı Spor
16
44
11.5%
Erciyes 38
19
44
16%
Kahramanmaras Istiklal
19
39
10%
İzmir Çoruhlu
10º
14
39
11.5%
Denizlispor
15º
7
38
10º
14.5%
Bursa Nilüfer FK
19
37
11º
9%
Polatlı 1926
12º
9
34
12º
14.5%
Edirnespor
11º
10
32
13º
14%
Tepecikspor
14º
7
29
14º
21.5%
Turgutluspor
16º
5
27
15º
27.5%
Niğde Belediyesispor
13º
9
21
16º
62.5%
Expected probabilities
Kahramanmaras Istiklal
Ağrı Spor
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
1% 0.5%
Next round
23% 41%
Mid-table
68.5% 57%
Relegation
7.5% 1.5%

ELO progression

Kahramanmaras Istiklal
Ağrı Spor
Erciyes 38
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ağrı Spor
Ağrı Spor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2024
KUS
Kuşadasıspor
1 - 0
Ağrı Spor
ASP
52%
24%
24%
41 44 3 0
21 Apr. 2024
ASP
Ağrı Spor
1 - 0
Darica Genclerbirligi
DAR
54%
27%
20%
40 34 6 +1
14 Apr. 2024
ERB
Erbaaspor
2 - 3
Ağrı Spor
ASP
62%
22%
16%
38 49 11 +2
07 Apr. 2024
ASP
Ağrı Spor
2 - 2
Tepecikspor
BUY
39%
27%
33%
38 36 2 0
03 Apr. 2024
VBK
Viven Bornova FK
3 - 1
Ağrı Spor
ASP
48%
24%
28%
39 39 0 -1