KAA Gent vs KVC Westerlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
2º
1º
21
5º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 7 |
5º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 7 |
6º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
STR
0 - 2
GEN
22%
23%
54%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
GEN
3 - 1
KVM
56%
22%
22%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LEU
2 - 1
GEN
24%
23%
54%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KVC
0 - 3
GEN
29%
23%
48%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
GEN
5 - 1
SDL
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
KVC Westerlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
KVC
1 - 1
LEU
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KVC
3 - 3
SDL
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
KVM
3 - 2
KVC
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KVC
0 - 3
GEN
29%
23%
48%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
STR
2 - 0
KVC
34%
27%
40%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |