KAA Gent vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
STR
0 - 1
GEN
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
MOL
0 - 1
GEN
27%
25%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
CHA
0 - 3
GEN
29%
24%
48%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
GEN
0 - 0
LOM
67%
18%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
GEN
2 - 5
SDL
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2002 |
EXC
5 - 2
GNK
47%
22%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
EXC
6 - 1
EEA
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2001 |
EXC
2 - 0
BRU
31%
25%
43%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
EXC
4 - 1
MOL
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
EXC
2 - 4
GNK
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |