KAA Gent vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
12º
6º
28
2º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 62 |
1º
|
64% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 58 |
2º
|
61% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 48 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 44 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 39 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 38 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 38 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 37 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 34 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 26 |
15º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 21 |
16º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
65% | 4.5% |
|
Next round
|
33.5% | 74% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 21.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
0 - 3
GEN
22%
21%
57%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KVK
0 - 1
GEN
17%
21%
63%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
GEN
4 - 1
VIK
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GEN
0 - 2
ZUL
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
GEN
0 - 1
LIL
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DEN
0 - 0
UNI
19%
22%
59%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DEN
0 - 3
LOU
52%
23%
26%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 0
DEN
72%
17%
10%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
DEN
53%
23%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
4 - 4
DEN
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |