Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 1-0
Juventus vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
JUV
1 - 0
ASC
81%
14%
6%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
TOR
2 - 0
JUV
33%
29%
37%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1992 |
ACM
0 - 0
JUV
59%
25%
17%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
JUV
1 - 1
LAZ
79%
15%
6%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
USC
0 - 2
JUV
15%
27%
58%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
USC
1 - 1
ACM
12%
26%
62%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
ACM
5 - 1
SAM
59%
24%
18%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1992 |
ACM
0 - 0
JUV
59%
25%
17%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1992 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
30%
29%
41%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
ACM
2 - 0
BAR
78%
16%
7%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |