Serie A round 4

Juventus vs Lazio analysis

Juventus Lazio
93 ELO 90
-7.4% Tilt -11.7%
10º General ELO ranking 30º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
50%
Juventus
24.2%
Draw
25.7%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
Juventus
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
25.7%
Win probability
Lazio
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Juventus
Their league position
Lazio
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
61
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Inter
94
94
100%
Milan
75
75
100%
Atalanta
69
72
72%
Juventus
71
71
72%
Bologna
68
68
100%
Roma
63
63
100%
Lazio
61
61
100%
Fiorentina
57
57
100%
Napoli
10º
53
53
0%
Torino
53
53
10º
0%
Genoa
11º
49
49
11º
100%
AC Monza
12º
45
45
12º
100%
Hellas Verona
13º
38
38
13º
100%
Lecce
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Udinese
15º
37
37
15º
100%
Empoli
16º
36
36
16º
0%
Cagliari
17º
36
36
17º
0%
Frosinone
18º
35
35
18º
100%
Sassuolo
19º
30
30
19º
100%
Salernitana
20º
17
17
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Juventus
Lazio
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
100% 0%
Europa League
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Juventus
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Juventus
Juventus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2023
EMP
Empoli
0 - 2
Juventus
JUV
21%
25%
54%
92 80 12 0
27 Aug. 2023
JUV
Juventus
1 - 1
Bologna
BOL
69%
20%
12%
92 83 9 0
20 Aug. 2023
UDI
Udinese
0 - 3
Juventus
JUV
24%
26%
50%
92 83 9 0
12 Aug. 2023
JUV
Juventus
0 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
50%
24%
26%
92 90 2 0
04 Jun. 2023
UDI
Udinese
0 - 1
Juventus
JUV
24%
26%
50%
92 83 9 0

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2023
NAP
Napoli
1 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
67%
19%
14%
89 95 6 0
27 Aug. 2023
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 1
Genoa
GEN
75%
16%
9%
90 81 9 -1
20 Aug. 2023
LEC
Lecce
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
20%
22%
58%
90 80 10 0
13 Aug. 2023
LAT
Latina
0 - 9
Lazio
LAZ
1%
13%
86%
89 49 40 +1
06 Aug. 2023
GIR
Girona
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
21%
23%
56%
89 82 7 0