Juventus vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
VIC
2 - 2
JUV
13%
23%
64%
|
91 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
SPE
1 - 1
JUV
9%
22%
69%
|
91 | 57 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
JUV
4 - 2
BAR
78%
16%
6%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 1
CES
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 0
JUV
11%
22%
66%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
CRO
1 - 2
CES
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
VIC
1 - 0
CRO
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
CRO
0 - 0
BOL
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
CRO
0 - 0
TRI
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
FRO
1 - 1
CRO
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |