Serie A round 28

Juventus vs Atalanta analysis

Juventus Atalanta
94 ELO 92
-6.9% Tilt -11.4%
10º General ELO ranking 18º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
49.9%
Juventus
24.5%
Draw
25.7%
Atalanta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
Juventus
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.7%
Win probability
Atalanta
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Juventus
Their league position
Atalanta
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
69
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Inter
94
94
100%
Milan
75
75
100%
Atalanta
69
72
72%
Juventus
71
71
72%
Bologna
68
68
100%
Roma
63
63
100%
Lazio
61
61
100%
Fiorentina
57
57
100%
Napoli
10º
53
53
0%
Torino
53
53
10º
0%
Genoa
11º
49
49
11º
100%
AC Monza
12º
45
45
12º
100%
Hellas Verona
13º
38
38
13º
100%
Lecce
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Udinese
15º
37
37
15º
100%
Empoli
16º
36
36
16º
0%
Cagliari
17º
36
36
17º
0%
Frosinone
18º
35
35
18º
100%
Sassuolo
19º
30
30
19º
100%
Salernitana
20º
17
17
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Juventus
Atalanta
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
100% 100%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Juventus
Atalanta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Juventus
Juventus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2024
NAP
Napoli
2 - 1
Juventus
JUV
46%
26%
28%
94 93 1 0
25 Feb. 2024
JUV
Juventus
3 - 2
Frosinone
FRO
71%
18%
10%
94 83 11 0
17 Feb. 2024
VER
Hellas Verona
2 - 2
Juventus
JUV
17%
25%
57%
94 79 15 0
12 Feb. 2024
JUV
Juventus
0 - 1
Udinese
UDI
72%
18%
10%
94 83 11 0
04 Feb. 2024
INT
Inter
1 - 0
Juventus
JUV
62%
21%
17%
94 97 3 0

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 2024
SCP
Sporting CP
1 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
33%
24%
43%
92 88 4 0
03 Mar. 2024
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 2
Bologna
BOL
73%
16%
11%
92 87 5 0
28 Feb. 2024
INT
Inter
4 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
66%
19%
15%
92 97 5 0
25 Feb. 2024
ACM
Milan
1 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
45%
25%
30%
92 93 1 0
17 Feb. 2024
ATL
Atalanta
3 - 0
Sassuolo
SAS
78%
14%
9%
92 83 9 0