EC Juventude vs Porto Alegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 2
GRE
12%
22%
66%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
5 - 0
ISM
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
CRU
3 - 1
JUV
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PEL
1 - 1
JUV
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Porto Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
PEL
2 - 1
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
POR
0 - 3
GRE
8%
19%
73%
|
41 | 85 | 44 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
VER
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CRU
8 - 0
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |