Juventud vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
54.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 1
RAC
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
DAN
4 - 1
JUV
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 1
REN
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 1
JUV
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 1
DEF
26%
28%
47%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +3 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 0
MWA
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ETS
0 - 1
NAC
23%
26%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
RIV
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DAN
2 - 0
NAC
30%
27%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 1
SUD
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |