Uruguay Intermediate Round round 1

Juventud vs Danubio analysis

Juventud Danubio
70 ELO 73
7.7% Tilt -2.9%
11581º General ELO ranking 11432º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.9%
Juventud
26.8%
Draw
31.4%
Danubio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
Juventud
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.4%
Win probability
Danubio
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Juventud
-13%
+11%
Danubio

ELO progression

Juventud
Danubio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Juventud
Juventud
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 2019
NAC
Nacional
1 - 0
Juventud
JUV
62%
22%
16%
70 80 10 0
25 May. 2019
JUV
Juventud
4 - 1
River Plate Montevideo
RIV
45%
25%
30%
69 68 1 +1
18 May. 2019
CER
Cerro CA
1 - 0
Juventud
JUV
42%
26%
32%
70 67 3 -1
11 May. 2019
JUV
Juventud
0 - 0
Plaza Colonia
PLA
53%
24%
23%
70 66 4 0
05 May. 2019
DAN
Danubio
4 - 3
Juventud
JUV
49%
26%
26%
70 72 2 0

Matches

Danubio
Danubio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2019
DAN
Danubio
1 - 0
Boston River
BOS
58%
23%
19%
73 68 5 0
26 May. 2019
RAC
Racing Montevideo
0 - 2
Danubio
DAN
41%
27%
33%
72 68 4 +1
18 May. 2019
DAN
Danubio
0 - 2
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
44%
25%
31%
73 73 0 -1
11 May. 2019
LFC
Liverpool Montevideo
0 - 5
Danubio
DAN
50%
25%
26%
72 69 3 +1
05 May. 2019
DAN
Danubio
4 - 3
Juventud
JUV
49%
26%
26%
72 70 2 0