Segunda RFEF round 15

Juventud Torremolinos vs Recreativo analysis

Juventud Torremolinos Recreativo
38 ELO 44
-11.4% Tilt -17.9%
2876º General ELO ranking 2028º
111º Country ELO ranking 76º
ELO win probability
21.6%
Juventud Torremolinos
26.5%
Draw
51.9%
Recreativo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
Juventud Torremolinos
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
51.9%
Win probability
Recreativo
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Juventud Torremolinos
+62%
-3%
Recreativo

Points and table prediction

Juventud Torremolinos
Their league position
Recreativo
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
18º
16º
63
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Antequera CF
73
73
100%
Recreativo
63
63
100%
Recreativo Granada
59
59
100%
At. Sanluqueño
58
58
100%
UCAM Murcia
54
54
100%
Yeclano Deportivo
52
52
100%
San Roque de Lepe
47
47
100%
Sevilla At.
10º
45
45
0%
FC Cartagena B
45
45
0%
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
45
45
10º
100%
Cádiz CF Mirandilla
11º
45
45
11º
100%
Betis Deportivo
12º
44
44
12º
100%
Vélez CF
13º
44
44
13º
100%
Xerez Deportivo
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Pvo. El Ejido
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Juventud Torremolinos
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Mancha Real
17º
31
31
17º
100%
Utrera
18º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Juventud Torremolinos
Recreativo
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Juventud Torremolinos
Recreativo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Juventud Torremolinos
Juventud Torremolinos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2022
MAR
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
0 - 0
Juventud Torremolinos
JUV
60%
25%
16%
35 45 10 0
04 Dec. 2022
JUV
Juventud Torremolinos
1 - 2
FC Cartagena B
CAR
34%
27%
39%
36 39 3 -1
26 Nov. 2022
GRA
Recreativo Granada
4 - 2
Juventud Torremolinos
JUV
49%
27%
24%
37 39 2 -1
22 Nov. 2022
JUV
Juventud Torremolinos
0 - 3
Hammarby IF
HIF
3%
12%
85%
37 81 44 0
20 Nov. 2022
JUV
Juventud Torremolinos
0 - 1
Pvo. El Ejido
CDE
38%
28%
35%
38 41 3 -1

Matches

Recreativo
Recreativo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2022
REC
Recreativo
3 - 0
Vélez CF
VEL
55%
24%
21%
45 42 3 0
04 Dec. 2022
XER
Xerez Deportivo
0 - 1
Recreativo
REC
31%
29%
40%
45 41 4 0
27 Nov. 2022
REC
Recreativo
1 - 1
Sevilla At.
SEV
37%
27%
36%
45 47 2 0
20 Nov. 2022
UTR
Utrera
0 - 0
Recreativo
REC
31%
27%
42%
45 38 7 0
13 Nov. 2022
REC
Recreativo
0 - 0
Burgos
BUR
14%
25%
60%
44 67 23 +1