Juventud Torremolinos vs CF Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
14º
10º
9
16º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
18 | 63 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 58 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 54 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 51 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 51 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 50 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 48 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 46 |
10º
|
4% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 45 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 42 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 40 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 36 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 36 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 33 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 26 |
18º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
52% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
18.5% | 72.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Torremolinos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 2
ZAM
17%
24%
60%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
JUV
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
AGU
41%
29%
30%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 1
JUV
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAD
49%
26%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
EST
33%
29%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UCA
1 - 1
VIL
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 0
XER
42%
28%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
DBN
0 - 0
VIL
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
MIN
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |