Junior vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2000 |
JUN
3 - 1
SLO
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2000 |
CCP
1 - 0
JUN
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1996 |
AME
1 - 0
JUN
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1996 |
JUN
1 - 1
AME
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1996 |
JUN
1 - 0
CCP
48%
24%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2000 |
UNI
1 - 0
CCP
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2000 |
SLO
3 - 0
UNI
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
VEL
4 - 0
UNI
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
UNI
0 - 0
VEL
32%
26%
43%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1999 |
UNI
1 - 3
UCO
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |