Junior vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 3
MIL
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
JUN
3 - 0
UCO
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SFE
2 - 1
JUN
45%
27%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
JUN
14%
23%
63%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
JUN
3 - 1
CAR
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
PER
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 1
UNI
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 4
UNI
28%
23%
49%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
RSC
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
AFC
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |