Junior vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
CAL
2 - 0
JUN
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
JUN
1 - 0
QUI
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2002 |
PER
3 - 1
JUN
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
JUN
3 - 4
PAS
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
MIL
0 - 2
JUN
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 0
ENV
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
AME
2 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 0
COR
45%
25%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
ONC
3 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 4
SFE
23%
27%
49%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |