Juazeiro BA vs Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juazeiro BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 0
VIT
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
JUA
63%
20%
16%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 1
JUA
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 4
BAH
13%
20%
67%
|
36 | 72 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
JUA
3 - 3
SDJ
25%
23%
51%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 2
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
0 - 3
ITA
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 1
JUA
57%
22%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
VIT
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 0
ITA
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |