Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Alfonso Ugarte de Puno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 3
AUR
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
AUN
2 - 0
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
AYA
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SRP
2 - 0
AUR
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
AUR
3 - 1
FCS
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
AYA
2 - 2
ALF
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
ALF
5 - 1
FCS
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
ALF
26%
25%
50%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
ALF
3 - 0
PIR
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALF
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |