Esiliiga B round 27

Joker vs Alliance FC analysis

Joker Alliance FC
41 ELO 44
12.3% Tilt 20.3%
11610º General ELO ranking 30786º
80º Country ELO ranking 166º
ELO win probability
37.4%
Joker
24.7%
Draw
37.9%
Alliance FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
Joker
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.9%
Win probability
Alliance FC
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Joker
Alliance FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Joker
Joker
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2017
VJK
Viimsi JK
2 - 2
Joker
JOK
46%
23%
31%
39 40 1 0
20 Aug. 2017
KEI
Keila
2 - 2
Joker
JOK
61%
20%
20%
39 45 6 0
16 Aug. 2017
JOK
Joker
4 - 0
Paide II
PAI
39%
23%
38%
37 39 2 +2
13 Aug. 2017
TAM
Tammeka II
1 - 1
Joker
JOK
67%
18%
15%
37 45 8 0
02 Aug. 2017
JOK
Joker
0 - 1
Tallinna Kalev II
TKA
32%
24%
44%
37 45 8 0

Matches

Alliance FC
Alliance FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2017
JKJ
Alliance FC
2 - 0
Nõmme Kalju II
NOM
33%
25%
42%
43 47 4 0
20 Aug. 2017
JKJ
Alliance FC
4 - 0
Viimsi JK
VJK
44%
25%
31%
41 42 1 +2
16 Aug. 2017
KEI
Keila
4 - 1
Alliance FC
JKJ
56%
22%
22%
43 44 1 -2
12 Aug. 2017
JKJ
Alliance FC
4 - 1
Paide II
PAI
40%
24%
36%
42 41 1 +1
05 Aug. 2017
TAM
Tammeka II
2 - 0
Alliance FC
JKJ
58%
21%
21%
42 43 1 0