Joinville vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
JEC
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 2
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 3
JEC
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
JEC
1 - 1
FFL
20%
23%
58%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BRU
0 - 0
JEC
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 1
MET
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
IMB
0 - 4
AVA
12%
18%
71%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
1 - 1
AVA
23%
22%
55%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRI
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
AVA
4 - 2
BRU
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |