Esiliiga B Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 5-6
Johvi Phoenix vs Läänemaa Haapsalu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
27.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Johvi Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
SSP
2 - 5
JFP
28%
20%
52%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
JFP
6 - 1
SSP
59%
19%
22%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
JFP
1 - 3
VJK
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 3
JFP
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
JFP
0 - 0
TKL
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Läänemaa Haapsalu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LAH
2 - 3
FAT
16%
19%
66%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
JKN
7 - 1
LAH
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
LAH
1 - 2
TUL
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 6
LAH
76%
13%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LAH
1 - 3
WEL
12%
18%
71%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | -1 |