1st Division Final
Global 1-3
AK Johannesburg vs Durban City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AK Johannesburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
MPU
1 - 1
AKJ
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
AKJ
3 - 2
GAR
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
DYN
4 - 0
AKJ
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 2
AKJ
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
AKJ
0 - 1
WIT
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 1
DUR
65%
22%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 0
POL
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
CAP
0 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 0
IKA
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
HPC
1 - 2
MAR
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |