Joane vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
54.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GON
1 - 1
JOA
66%
22%
13%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
JOA
3 - 2
BOA
18%
25%
57%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | +2 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 0
JOA
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
JOA
1 - 1
VAR
16%
24%
59%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
TIR
2 - 3
JOA
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 1
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
GON
47%
28%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 1
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
MIR
42%
28%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
AMA
2 - 2
CHA
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |