JJ Urquiza vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JJ Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
MER
2 - 0
JJU
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
JJU
2 - 1
MID
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
MER
2 - 0
JJU
45%
27%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
JJU
1 - 0
DOC
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
SAC
1 - 1
JJU
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CAD
1 - 1
DOC
56%
23%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
CAD
1 - 1
DOC
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SAC
5 - 2
CAD
50%
24%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2016 |
CAD
4 - 2
CCO
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
ARQ
2 - 1
CAD
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |