League One round 22

Jiangxi Lushan vs Liaoning Tieren analysis

Jiangxi Lushan Liaoning Tieren
42 ELO 54
9.7% Tilt -8%
5869º General ELO ranking 3624º
39º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
23.5%
Jiangxi Lushan
25%
Draw
51.5%
Liaoning Tieren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
Jiangxi Lushan
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.5%
Win probability
Liaoning Tieren
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jiangxi Lushan
-7%
+42%
Liaoning Tieren

Points and table prediction

Jiangxi Lushan
Their league position
Liaoning Tieren
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
15º
16º
16º
50
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Yunnan Yukun
66
66
100%
Dalian Yingbo
57
57
100%
Guangzhou FC
52
52
100%
Chongqing Tonglianglong
50
50
100%
Liaoning Tieren
50
50
100%
Suzhou Dongwu
48
48
100%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
48
48
100%
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
47
47
100%
Nanjing City
34
34
100%
Foshan Nanshi
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Shanghai Jiading Huilong
11º
31
31
11º
100%
Yanbian Longding
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Heilongjiang Ice City
13º
27
27
13º
100%
Qingdao Red Lions
14º
26
26
14º
100%
Wuxi Wugo
15º
22
22
15º
100%
Jiangxi Lushan
16º
19
19
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Jiangxi Lushan
Liaoning Tieren
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Jiangxi Lushan
Liaoning Tieren
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jiangxi Lushan
Jiangxi Lushan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2024
JIA
Jiangxi Lushan
0 - 0
Heilongjiang Ice City
ANH
23%
23%
54%
41 52 11 0
24 Aug. 2024
YUN
Yunnan Yukun
3 - 0
Jiangxi Lushan
JIA
67%
20%
13%
41 60 19 0
17 Aug. 2024
JIA
Jiangxi Lushan
1 - 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
CHO
32%
25%
44%
39 54 15 +2
21 Jul. 2024
HKF
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2 - 1
Jiangxi Lushan
JIA
76%
17%
7%
39 61 22 0
13 Jul. 2024
SHA
Shanghai Jiading Huilong
3 - 1
Jiangxi Lushan
JIA
61%
22%
17%
40 48 8 -1

Matches

Liaoning Tieren
Liaoning Tieren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2024
SHE
Liaoning Tieren
2 - 1
Dalian Yingbo
DAL
49%
25%
26%
54 54 0 0
24 Aug. 2024
SDO
Suzhou Dongwu
2 - 2
Liaoning Tieren
SHE
42%
28%
31%
53 54 1 +1
17 Aug. 2024
SHE
Liaoning Tieren
5 - 1
Nanjing City
NAN
30%
28%
43%
51 60 9 +2
20 Jul. 2024
SHE
Liaoning Tieren
1 - 1
Shanghai Jiading Huilong
SHA
58%
24%
18%
51 48 3 0
14 Jul. 2024
SHE
Liaoning Tieren
2 - 1
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
GFC
23%
26%
51%
50 63 13 +1