JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
78.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
12º
9º
28
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 1
KFV
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KFV
0 - 2
GRO
5%
11%
84%
|
20 | 60 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 1
KFV
92%
5%
3%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
KFV
0 - 0
RIG
9%
17%
74%
|
19 | 67 | 48 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 1
KFV
91%
6%
3%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
GRO
34%
24%
42%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FKB
2 - 1
VAL
13%
18%
69%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 1
VAL
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 1
RFA
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
DRS
85%
11%
5%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | -1 |