2. Division Grupo 1 round 25

Jerv vs Notodden analysis

Jerv Notodden
55 ELO 48
4.8% Tilt 11.3%
3484º General ELO ranking 4747º
43º Country ELO ranking 61º
ELO win probability
61.1%
Jerv
20.9%
Draw
18%
Notodden

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
Jerv
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18%
Win probability
Notodden
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jerv
+9%
+3%
Notodden

Points and table prediction

Jerv
Their league position
Notodden
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
34
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hødd
58
58
100%
Jerv
48
48
100%
Eik Tønsberg
45
45
100%
Brattvåg
42
42
100%
Lysekloster
41
41
100%
Brann II
38
38
100%
Sotra SK
35
35
100%
Vard
34
34
0%
Notodden
34
34
0%
FK Arendal
10º
33
33
10º
100%
Flekkeroy
11º
33
33
11º
100%
Viking FK II
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Ørn Horten
13º
24
24
13º
100%
Kvik Halden
14º
17
17
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Jerv
Notodden
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Jerv
Notodden
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jerv
Jerv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2024
HOD
Hødd
1 - 0
Jerv
JER
50%
25%
25%
56 62 6 0
29 Sep. 2024
JER
Jerv
5 - 2
Vard
VAR
58%
22%
20%
55 48 7 +1
21 Sep. 2024
ORN
Ørn Horten
1 - 1
Jerv
JER
27%
24%
49%
55 47 8 0
14 Sep. 2024
JER
Jerv
3 - 0
FK Arendal
FKA
55%
22%
23%
54 48 6 +1
07 Sep. 2024
LYS
Lysekloster
3 - 0
Jerv
JER
42%
24%
34%
55 53 2 -1

Matches

Notodden
Notodden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2024
NOT
Notodden
2 - 1
Brann II
BRA
29%
24%
47%
47 51 4 0
28 Sep. 2024
FFC
Flekkeroy
3 - 0
Notodden
NOT
31%
24%
44%
48 46 2 -1
21 Sep. 2024
NOT
Notodden
0 - 0
Sotra SK
SSK
35%
26%
39%
48 51 3 0
14 Sep. 2024
HOD
Hødd
1 - 0
Notodden
NOT
64%
21%
15%
48 61 13 0
07 Sep. 2024
NOT
Notodden
3 - 0
Kvik Halden
KVI
55%
22%
23%
48 43 5 0