Jerez vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
EMD
1 - 1
JER
21%
25%
54%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ARR
1 - 1
JER
40%
26%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
JER
2 - 0
CDD
67%
20%
14%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
EXT
2 - 1
JER
33%
26%
41%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
JER
1 - 0
BAD
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 1
CDD
52%
24%
23%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ADL
1 - 1
MOR
15%
22%
63%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
ARR
69%
19%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
VIL
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CDD
0 - 0
MOR
14%
20%
67%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | -1 |